Brett Winton
@wintonARK · Aug 12, 2022
Very hard to conceptualize a ~5,000x capability improvement (our ~2025 expectation for neural nets.)
To give you a sense *compared to the 2007 original* this year's iPhone will likely be between ~200x (on a CPU basis) and ~3,000x (on a GPU basis) more performant
Brett Winton@wintonARK· Aug 11, 2022We believe the cost to train a neural net will fall 2.5x per year through 2030.
AND we expect budgets to continue to balloon, doubling annually at least through 2025.
Combine the two:
Neural net capability should increase by ~5,000x by 2025
Elon Musk
@elonmusk
Yikes
03:24 AM · August 13, 2022 · 0 views
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