John Carmack
@ID_AA_Carmack · Oct 2, 2024
tal starship flights in 2028 sounds less likely than boots on mars in 2030 — both plausible, but aggressively optimistic!
Such long chains of dependent probabilities make it so easy to hit delays. Three possible setbacks (like regulatory issues) that individually have only a one i
Elon Musk
@elonmusk
Thanks!
09:37 PM · October 2, 2024 · 48.1K views
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