Polymarket
@Polymarket · Jan 16, 2025
It's launch day for @SpaceX.
Here's what to expect:
• 95% chance the rocket reaches space.
• 95% chance it survives re-entry.
• 76% chance of a successful splashdown.
• 65% chance the chopsticks catch the Super Heavy.
• 29% chance the Super Heavy explodes.
Elon Musk@elonmusk· Jan 16, 2025Starship Flight 7 launches in 2 hours
Elon Musk
@elonmusk
Not far wrong
09:55 PM · January 16, 2025 · 97.6K views
65
19
710