François Chollet
@fchollet · Aug 24, 2025
I'll take the other side of this bet...
David Scott Patterson@davidpattersonx· Aug 23, 2025By 2030, all jobs will be replaced by AI and robots.
Easily.
The US labor force is about 170 million workers.
About 80 million of those jobs include hands-on work.
Automated systems can work four shifts a week.
Replacing all physical labor would require about 20 million
Elon Musk
@elonmusk
He doesn’t understand how hard it is to scale up production and that making prototypes is trivial compared to the immense pain of volume manufacturing. There is no Hollywood movie about this fundamental truth.
But he is not wrong longer term. 20 years max.
06:18 AM · August 25, 2025 · 212.1K views
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