Posts
Nate Silver
@NateSilver538 · Mar 20, 2020
Looked at another way: Today, 5.2% of Washington's tests came up with a positive result. Yesterday, 5.9% did. In the 7 days before that, 6.4% of them did. So, there *is* a bit of progress after all. Their number of new positives *as a share of new tests* is slightly declining.
Elon Musk
@elonmusk · Mar 21, 2020
Do you have data on the false positive rate? I’ve heard a wide range of numbers. CDC numbers are almost an order of magnitude lower between high fidelity data (onset date known) and “presumed positive”.
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Nate Silver
@NateSilver538 · Mar 20, 2020
So long as those two things hold, the rate of increase in the number of *detected* cases is primarily a function of the rate of increase in the number of *tests* and does not tell us that much about how fast the actual *infection* is spreading.
Elon Musk
@elonmusk · Mar 21, 2020
Important consideration
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david friedberg
@friedberg · Mar 20, 2020
the whole world experience has become like a bad episode of black mirror
Elon Musk
@elonmusk · Mar 20, 2020
Feels like the plot of Deus Ex
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108.4-74
@MG42bonesaw · Mar 20, 2020
Build one large central ventilator , multiple branches/lines with one ways values/regulators to regulate pressure and prevent mixing.
Elon Musk
@elonmusk · Mar 20, 2020
A single computer, pump & pressure accumulator would be fine for many patients, but ideally individual valves per patient to personalize care & avoid cross-flow risk
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Renata Konkoly
@RenataKonkoly · Mar 20, 2020
🙁 Will you make ventilators in the SpaceX factory?
Elon Musk
@elonmusk · Mar 20, 2020
Yeah, SpaceX is working on ventilators too
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Elon Musk
@elonmusk · Mar 20, 2020
Replying to @moskov
That won’t work for our auto parts suppliers, so, no, our US factory can’t stay open
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Ed Ludlow
@EdLudlow · Mar 20, 2020
Could the same engineers/facilities used for X/S HEPA filters work on ventilators @elonmusk - are the skills/competencies/capacity transferable? Or would this be more likely to borrow from work of SpaceX on Crew Drago capsule's life support system?
Elon Musk
@elonmusk · Mar 20, 2020
Yes, we’re working on ventilators, even though I think they probably won’t be needed
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alan drummond
@alandrummond2 · Mar 17, 2020
So in ten minutes the evil genius who is one of our GP anaesthetists (with a PhD in diaphragmatic mechanics) increased our rural hospitals ventilator capacity from one to nine!!!
Elon Musk
@elonmusk · Mar 20, 2020
Interesting thread
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🐲DOfAquarius
@DOfaquarius · Mar 19, 2020
Thank you, Elon!! 💖 Truly 🤗💓💓💓💓💓💓💓💓💓💓💓💓💓💓
I'm hoping enough ppl practice social distancing to buy enough time for treatments to be developed & for ventilators to not be needed en masse... but I also know we're humans, & that's unlikely to happen.
💓
Elon Musk
@elonmusk · Mar 19, 2020
Thanks 💖
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Cernovich
@Cernovich · Mar 19, 2020
You have suppliers / factories in China.
How is production going?
Elon Musk
@elonmusk · Mar 19, 2020
China is operating normally across hundreds of suppliers & all of Tesla Shanghai
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🐲DOfAquarius
@DOfaquarius · Mar 19, 2020
Send us a sign if you need help!!
Bc this is not like you. At all.
I miss the Elon who cares about us ALL
The heart of gold Elon 🧡
Elon Musk
@elonmusk · Mar 19, 2020
We’re working on ventilators, even though I think there will not be a shortage by the time we can make enough to matter
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Elon Musk
@elonmusk · Mar 19, 2020
Replying to @flcnhvy
Anyone feeling even slightly ill should stay home. Elderly should avoid close contact, even with family members, for now. Those seem most important.
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Elon Musk
@elonmusk · Mar 19, 2020
Kids are essentially immune, but elderly with existing conditions are vulnerable. Family gatherings with close contact between kids & grandparents probably most risky.
Elon Musk
@elonmusk · Mar 19, 2020
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Pope of Muskanity
@RationalEtienne · Mar 19, 2020
With or without closures, social distancing, widespread testing, travel restrictions, and people carrying masks, my liege?
Elon Musk
@elonmusk · Mar 19, 2020
Kids are essentially immune, but elderly with existing conditions are vulnerable. Family gatherings with close contact between kids & grandparents probably most risky.
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Elon Musk
@elonmusk · Mar 19, 2020
Yes
Elon Musk
@elonmusk · Mar 19, 2020
Based on current trends, probably close to zero new cases in US too by end of April
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Pranay Pathole
@PPathole · Mar 19, 2020
Do you believe it?
Elon Musk
@elonmusk · Mar 19, 2020
Yes
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Elon Musk
@elonmusk · Mar 19, 2020
No new domestic corona cases in China
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bill lee
@billlee · Mar 19, 2020
thoughts? dailywire.com/news/stanford-…
Elon Musk
@elonmusk · Mar 19, 2020
Imo, this professor is correct. Also, growth rate of confirmed C19 cases is dropping every day, despite 10X increase in testing. From Tues to today, was 43%, 24%, 17%. Track this chart:
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Mayor Zohran Kwame Mamdani
@NYCMayor · Mar 19, 2020
@elonmusk New York City is buying!
Our country is facing a drastic shortage and we need ventilators ASAP — we will need thousands in this city over the next few weeks. We’re getting them as fast as we can but we could use your help!
We’re reaching out to you directly.
Elon Musk
@elonmusk · Mar 19, 2020
Sounds good, we will connect with your team to understand potential needs
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Michael Mosseri
@M_Mosseri · Mar 19, 2020
Are crewed mission always on new boosters?
Elon Musk
@elonmusk · Mar 19, 2020
Yes
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