Posts
Elon Musk
@elonmusk · 12 juil. 2026
Grok 4.5 even ranks slightly above Fable, which is an incredibly good model, on some software benchmarks!
Elon Musk
@elonmusk · 13 juil. 2026
The publicly available version of Mythos (Fable with Claude as fallback) is significantly nerfed, but still that’s all most people have access to
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Polymarket
@Polymarket · 13 juil. 2026
NEW: Grok 4.5 now scores highest on the SWE-Atlas-QnA benchmark, edging Claude Fable 5 & GPT-5.6 Sol.
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Andrew McCarthy
@AJamesMcCarthy · 12 juil. 2026
I get to see this monster fly again later this week... new photos to come!
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Alexander Yue
@Alezander907 · 12 juil. 2026
I take it all back. We just got access to eval Grok 4.5 and it has landed above GPT-5.6-Sol and just shy of Opus for browser use.
Because cache input is expensive, the overall cost is only 10% cheaper than opus. Its overall a bit faster.
We have another opus-class model in the
Alexander Yue@Alezander907· 12 juil. 2026Some new model release and my eval scores:
gpt-5.6-sol is a small improvement on browser tasks, but seems to consume many more tokens
Muse spark 1.1 outperforms gemini 3.5 flash at a cheaper price, but is not overall very good
Claude sonnet 5 is 5th best performance at higher
Elon Musk
@elonmusk · 12 juil. 2026
Sounds like we should lower our cached price
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Beff (e/acc)
@beffjezos · 11 juil. 2026
yes. gdp ~ energy
The dyson swarm company will be the most valuable
Elon Musk
@elonmusk · 12 juil. 2026
Necessarily so, as power harnessed would be more than a trillion times what human civilization uses today.
The economy will be measured in energy and mass at that point, not dollars.
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Elon Musk
@elonmusk · 12 juil. 2026
Necessarily so, as power harnessed would be more than a trillion times what human civilization uses today.
The economy will be measured in energy and mass at that point, not dollars.
Elon Musk
@elonmusk · 12 juil. 2026
I say both energy and mass, as they are separate scarcities for practical purposes, despite being technically “equivalent”, as described by Einstein’s famous equation.
Our solar system has only a tiny percentage of non-solar atoms with which to build things.
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Yun-Ta Tsai
@yunta_tsai · 12 juil. 2026
I would like to offer a counterargument that LLMs (or maybe AIs) cannot jump.
Before AlphaGo, the AI field had the same argument for Go: there are 2.08 × 10^170 possibilities, nothing fits in the computer, and there is no way AI could possibly predict the outcome of the next
Han Xiao ✈️ ICML 2026@hxiao· 9 juil. 2026interesting position paper throwing cold water on autoresearch/ai scientist: LLMs can't jump.
The thought experiment is this: Take an LLM with a 1905 knowledge cutoff. Feed it every paper, every dataset, every equation of that era. Could it invent general relativity?
No.
Elon Musk
@elonmusk · 12 juil. 2026
🎯
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Wesley Yang
@wesyang · 11 juil. 2026
Transgenderism is an uncontrolled society-scaled experiment in conformity and obedience: a test of how far you can make people parrot absurdities, inflict cruelties, collude with unrealities, and ostracize and punish people for things they do not themselves believe.
It is a
Willa, aka Liberty Belle, the 355 🇺🇸🔔@LBelle355· 11 juil. 2026I think we would be surprised at how many people would quietly start to come out in support, if they were given “permission” by the public figures they rely on to open Overton Windows for them. That is pathetic, cowardly, lazy, & self-interested, because they are often consumed
Elon Musk
@elonmusk · 12 juil. 2026
Absolutely
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Nikita Bier
@nikitabier · 11 juil. 2026
Incredible trade secrets as well, some of the best
Elon Musk
@elonmusk · 12 juil. 2026
😂
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X Freeze
@XFreeze · 12 juil. 2026
Elon Musk explains why the Sun is humanity's ultimate energy source:
"The vast majority of Earth's energy already comes from the Sun. Without it, Earth would be a frozen ice ball
A roughly 100-mile by 100-mile area of solar panels....about a corner of Arizona, could generate enough electricity to power the entire United States"
The challenge isn't whether enough solar energy exists
It's building the infrastructure to capture, store, and distribute it efficiently
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Elon Musk
@elonmusk · 12 juil. 2026
Grok Build improvements
X Freeze@XFreeze· 12 juil. 2026Grok Build just received another update, bringing smoother navigation and improved keyboard workflows across the Agent Dashboard
Release Notes: v0.2.99 — 2026-07-12
Features:
• Multiline input now works on the agent dashboard the same way it does in regular sessions.
• PageUp
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Elon Musk
@elonmusk · 12 juil. 2026
Grok 4.5 even ranks slightly above Fable, which is an incredibly good model, on some software benchmarks!
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Gavin Baker
@GavinSBaker · 12 juil. 2026
The mega bull case for AI infrastructure would be *if* market share shifted away from certain frontier labs with 90%+ inference margins toward cheaper models, whether open-source or closed.
It would increase the ROI on AI spend for end customers by increasing intelligence per dollar, which would drive incremental token demand. Margin dollars would effectively get redistributed from the frontier labs to AI infrastructure providers. The infra winners would be those with the lowest per token cost and the winners at the model layer would be those with the highest token efficiency.
There are many reasons Jensen is so focused on open source, but this is likely the most important one as I think he is probably less worried about a monopsony these days. Lower margin % at the model layer = more margin $ at the infra layer all else equal.
With SpaceX and Meta being vertically integrated and possessing the #3 and #4 models respectively it is more possible than ever. Note that Grok 4.5 is ahead of Fable for some useful tasks at a much lower cost, so ranking them #3 is conservative.
This is not happening yet. Cheap, mostly open source tokens are likely the majority of volume today but the majority of economic value is still accruing to the most intelligent models. Might change though.
We will see.
Cassandra Unchained@michaeljburry· 11 juil. 2026This is true as I have heard this from contacts in the Valley. Goes with my pinned post.
The AI race is shifting from bigger models to cheaper, smarter systems
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Elon Musk
@elonmusk · 12 juil. 2026
Follow the Starship series @SpaceX
SpaceX@SpaceX· 10 juil. 2026The path to launch is filled with obstacles and success is only possible through the tireless efforts of many working together towards a common goal. “Critical Path” continues the ongoing Starship series, following SpaceX engineers through the final days before launch of the
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Elon Musk
@elonmusk · 12 juil. 2026
Cool
@jason@Jason· 12 juil. 2026I made myself a personalized podcast player using @grok 4.5 and @perplexity_ai Computer
It finds the top topics people are discussing on tech and business podcasts, then lets me play a single stream across multiple podcasts by topic.
When you click PLAY DEEP-LINK STREAM, it
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Elon Musk
@elonmusk · 12 juil. 2026
Grok 4.5 is Opus class for browser use
Alexander Yue@Alezander907· 12 juil. 2026I take it all back. We just got access to eval Grok 4.5 and it has landed above GPT-5.6-Sol and just shy of Opus for browser use.
Because cache input is expensive, the overall cost is only 10% cheaper than opus. Its overall a bit faster.
We have another opus-class model in the
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X Freeze
@XFreeze · 12 juil. 2026
For the first time, Starship will carry 20 next-generation Starlink V3 satellites to space
Starlink V3 is designed to massively expand the network’s capacity and increase user speeds
After deployment, the test satellites will:
• Extend their solar arrays and antennas
• Attempt to connect with ground stations in South Africa
• Establish links with the wider Starlink constellation using high-capacity lasers
The satellites will follow the same suborbital trajectory as Starship, meaning they will not remain in orbit and are expected to reenter the atmosphere later in the mission
But the most interesting part is how Starlink will help inspect Starship
Six of the satellites have been modified with cameras designed to scan Starship’s heat shield and transmit the imagery back to SpaceX operators
Several heat-shield tiles have even been painted white to simulate missing tiles and provide clear imaging targets
The goal is to continue testing methods of analyzing Starship’s heat shield readiness for return to launch site on future missions
Starship launches Starlink
Starlink helps inspect Starship
The entire SpaceX ecosystem is starting to compound on itself
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Gail Alfar
@gailalfaratx · 12 juil. 2026
Grok 4.5 is the truth seeking leader that other AIs can aspire to become
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Elon Musk
@elonmusk · 12 juil. 2026
@beffjezos I say both energy and mass, as they are separate scarcities for practical purposes, despite being technically “equivalent”, as described by Einstein’s famous equation.
Our solar system has only a tiny percentage of non-solar atoms with which to build things.
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Yun-Ta Tsai
@yunta_tsai · 12 juil. 2026
I would like to offer a counterargument that LLMs (or maybe AIs) cannot jump.
Before AlphaGo, the AI field had the same argument for Go: there are 2.08 × 10^170 possibilities, nothing fits in the computer, and there is no way AI could possibly predict the outcome of the next 50-60 moves.
It turned out most moves do not lead to a win. Combined with clever use of Monte Carlo Tree Search, the sampling becomes quite manageable. The same can be said for physics, where equations are just another form of compression.
Einstein did not start with relativity. That was not his first paper. He spent years understanding the properties of light before concluding that the speed of light is constant across the universe, which unlocked his discovery of relativity. During his thought process, he also interacted with other physicists (e.g., sub-agents) to enrich his thinking.
Currently we have not run an agent for years of compute. The sessions are often fragmented and disoriented, so every new session is almost a fragmented memory of the past, but it may not be for long.
Han Xiao ✈️ ICML 2026@hxiao· 9 juil. 2026interesting position paper throwing cold water on autoresearch/ai scientist: LLMs can't jump.
The thought experiment is this: Take an LLM with a 1905 knowledge cutoff. Feed it every paper, every dataset, every equation of that era. Could it invent general relativity?
No.
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